Flood Forecasting and Warning Program

Information about the Flood Forecasting and Warning Program, which prepares provincial and local authorities in the event of a flood.

Current flood information

Flood information updated as of: May 1, 2016 - 9:00 am

Ontario flood map



Provincial Flood Watch for Northeastern and Southern Regions of Ontario Issued by the Surface Water Monitoring Centre of the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry Friday April 29th, 2016 at 12:00 Noon


Locally issued flood messages

Issued by MNRF Districts and Conservation Authorities

MNRF Districts

  • Bancroft - Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook - April 27, 2016 11:00 am
  • Cochrane - Flood Watch_Moose_River - May 1, 2016 5:40 pm
  • Kemptville - Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety - April 25, 2016 4:00 pm
  • Pembroke - Flood Watch - April 29, 2016
  • Wawa - Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety - April 26, 2016 12:00 pm
  • Cochrane - Flood Watch_Albany_River - May 1, 2016 12:50 pm

Conservation Authorities

  • Crowe Valley - Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety - April 15, 2016 12:00 pm
  • Essex Region - Flood Watch - April 29, 2016 3:00 pm
  • Nickel District - Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety - April 14, 2016 2:30 pm
  • North Bay Mattawa - Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook - April 14, 2016 11:00 am
  • Otonabee - Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety - April 18, 2016 12:30 pm

River Regulatory Agencies


Provincial Message

Issued to Local Authorities by the Surface Water Monitoring Centre

 

MNRF Districts

Algonquin Park, Bancroft, Chapleau, Cochrane, Hearst, Kemptville, Kirkland Lake, Midhurst, Nipigon, Parry Sound, Pembroke, Sault Ste Marie, Sudbury, Timmins, Wawa

Conservation Authorities

Mattagami Region, Nickel District, North Bay Mattawa, Sault Ste Marie Region

Weather Situation

The next five days starting Friday (April 29th) there are no major precipitation events that could impact the province barring some occasional rainfall for southern region in the amount of 10 to 30 mm cumulatively for the upcoming five days. Included in the above forecast is a possible rainfall in the amount of a 10 to 20 mm for the Southeast Region on Sunday and into Monday. Rainfall amount of 10 to 20 mm cumulative for the next five days is forecast for the northeast with some of it likely to be snow for northern sectors of the region. Daytime high temperature will be around the 0 to 10 degrees centigrade range for northern sectors of the northeast and progressively warmer into the south reaching up to a high of 15 degrees centigrade during the next five days. Nighttime temperature lows will be sub-zero degrees centigrade for northeast and up to 5 degrees centigrade for the south in this time period.

Risks

Water levels and flows across much of central Ontario continues to remain elevated from past precipitation and snow melt and is currently stable or receding at most gauging stations. The forecast rain and snowmelt from warm temperatures could likely cause water levels and flows to rise across northern sectors of south-central Ontario.

Further northeast, snow melt is occurring, and water levels and flows are continuing to rise or stabilising due to colder weather but still high. As the temperatures drop in the nighttime the melt will be slower but the water levels and flows will likely continue to increase but at a slower rate.

A close watch on water levels and flows and local weather conditions is recommended.

This message will be in effect until (or updated before) Monday, May 2nd, 2016 at 12:00 pm.


Flood Message Definitions

Provincial flood messages

There are 2 types of provincial flood messages:

  • the Provincial Flood Watch, which provides consistent and timely technical information about the potential for flooding
  • the Provincial Watershed Conditions Statement, which provides information on provincial watershed conditions as they relate to flood potential, and an outlook on expected spring flood conditions

Local flood messages

There are 3 types of local flood messages:

  • flood warning: flooding is imminent or already occurring
  • flood watch: there is the potential for flooding
  • watershed conditions statements: flood Outlook (an early notice of the potential for flooding based on heavy rain, snow melt etc.) and water safety information.

Who to contact for flood information

Your local Conservation Authority is responsible for local flood messaging.

Your local municipality is responsible for on-the-ground flood response.

If you live in a community that is not serviced by a conservation authority, any flood watches or flood warnings in your area are issued by the nearest Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry district office.

 

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Updated: November 20, 2015