The expected results from the Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative, the Ontario Priorities Housing Initiative, and Canada–Ontario Housing Benefit investments are set out in the table below for the next fiscal year. The Province is using the same approach as in the first action plan in the development of Targets and Outcomes, as it opted to present a 1-year extension of the Action Plan. At the initial time of development, Service Managers/Indigenous Program Administrators had not developed their initial investment plans, and so the expected results were based on program take-up assumptions from previous similar programs. These assumptions include the projected take-up of operating and capital components under the respective program initiatives, along with a historical analysis of Service Managers and Indigenous Program Administrators funding priorities.

As Service Managers and Indigenous Program Administrators set annual priorities based on local needs and in accordance with the requirements of the Bilateral Agreement as well as program guidelines for each of the new program initiatives and given the impact of the COVID‑19 Pandemic this forecast continues to be high level. As the Province works toward development of the completion of the second 3 Year Action Plan, the Province and its delivery partners will have a better understanding of how targets and outcomes are being achieved in all areas as it progresses toward the 9-year overall targets.

Tables: Year-by-year targets and funding by outcome/expected result

Table 1.1: Outcome: Maintain/increase social housing supply
Expected results 2022–23 target (households/units) 2022–23 funding ($M) 2019–20 to 2028/29 target (households/units)
Units continue to be offered in social housing (rent subsidy maintained) (Note 1) 76,753 259.3 131,067
15% expansion of rent assisted units (Note 2) 0 0.0 19,660
No net loss of Urban Native Housing units available to low-income households (rent subsidy maintained) (Note 1) 479 5.9 1,452
Table 1.2: Outcome: Repair existing stock
Expected results 2022–23 target (households/units) 2022–23 funding ($M) 2019–20 to 2028/29 target (households/units)
At least 20% of existing social housing units repaired 5,318 28.0 26,213
Retained Urban Native Housing units are repaired to good condition 117 1.5 1,452
Table 1.3: Outcome: Increased supply and appropriate mix of affordable and adequate housing
Expected results 2022–23 target (households/units) 2022–23 funding ($M) 2019–20 to 2028/29 target (households/units)
Number of new affordable rental units 385 68.5 3,132
Number of affordable rental units renovated/
repaired
500 13.9 3,949
Table 1.4: Outcome: People are better connected to housing assistance and supports that are responsive to their complex and changing needs
Expected results 2022–23 target (households/units) 2022–23 funding ($M) 2019–20 to 2028/29 target (households/units
Number of households in receipt of rental affordability assistance (Note 3) 6,430 96.8 53,959
Number of households in receipt of homeownership affordability assistance 78 4.3 617
Number of households in receipt of housing-related supports 411 4.6 3,248

Note 1: All municipal contributions (cost-matching) under Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative has been forecasted under this target. In the first Action Plan, the Province did not forecast this spending as it did not have enough information at the time. Reporting on Urban Native Social Housing units may include units funded through other sources given municipal contributions are used for cost-matching

Note 2: Target will be met in the later years of the NHS

Note 3: Cumulative 2022–23 target is 13,833. This cumulative target represents Ontario’s estimated households served for the fiscal year which includes both ongoing and new clients which aligns with total funding for the specific year. Ontario tracks cumulative totals since inception as it is anticipated that Service Managers will contribute multiple years of funding to a household in need of rent assistance to assist in the preservation of these units.


Table 2: Expected number of households for which housing need will be addressed
Initiative Target (households) 2022–23 Target (households) 2019–20 to 2028-29 total
Ontario Priorities Housing Initiative
(Note 1)
1,374 14,283
Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative
(Note 2)
77,232 150,727
Canada–Ontario Housing Benefit
(Note 3)
6,430 50,623
Total 85,036 215,633

Note 1: Ontario Priorities Housing Initiative — Targets are based on historical information from capital and operating take-up and costs/units per the historical Investment in Affordable Housing Extension program guidelines.

Note 2: Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative — Targets are based on historical social housing information and include Social Housing units (including Urban Native Housing units) receiving operating subsidy only. Repair of existing social housing stock (including UNH) is excluded since it is not addressing housing need as reflected in his chart

Note 3: Cumulative 2022–23 target is 13,833. Canada–Ontario Housing Benefit — targets are based on historical trends from the Portable Housing Benefit — Special Priority Program (PHB-SPP)


Table 3: Planned cost-matching (per initiative per year)
Initiative Planned cost-matching ($M) 2022–23 Planned cost-matching ($M) 2023-24
Ontario Priorities Housing Initiative (Note 1) 45.8 45.5
Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative
(Note 2)
147.3 182.5
Canada–Ontario Housing Benefit
(Note 3)
37.8 58.9
Total 230.9 287.0

Note 1: For COCHI, the ministry intends to cost-match with provincial spending over the Action Plan period by one-year lag that began in 2020–21.

Note 2: For Canada–Ontario Community Housing Initiative, the ministry plans to use existing municipal spending on social housing to meet the cost matching requirements.

Note 3: For COHB, the ministry intends to cost-match with provincial spending over the Action Plan period by one-year lag that began in 2021–22.


Table 4: Planned targets and funding (households)
Indicator: Number of households for which housing need is addressed 2022–23 target (households) 2022–23 funding ($M) 2019–20 to 2028/29 target (households)
New construction 385 61.7 3,123
Repaired / renewed 5,934 42.0 31,614
Affordability assistance
(Note 1): Project based subsidy
77,232 265.2 152,207
Affordability assistance to the household (Note 5) 6,919 97.1 56,343
Total 90,471 318.5 243,288

Note 1: Targets and funding are based on historical information from capital vs operating take-up and costs per the historical Investment in Affordable Housing Extension program guidelines and includes estimates on Social Housing (Non-Urban Native) and Urban Native Housing repaired units take-up. subsidy.

Note 2:  Project-based subsidy also includes eligible cost matching. Affordability Assistance is based on historical information capital take-up and costs per the historical Investment in Affordable Housing Extension (Homeownership) guidelines and estimated take up on eligible support services. Information is also based on estimates in maintained Social Housing (Non-Urban Native) and Urban Native Housing units take up.

Note 3: The total in the chart includes 1,452 UNH units that are included under the Repaired/Renewed Category as well as the Affordability Assistance — Project based category.

Note 4: Target funding excludes administration costs

Note 5: Cumulative 2022–23 COHB target is 13,833


Table 5: Housing units considered accessible

Ontario will update this target when it submits the full three-year Action Plan. Ontario is working with SMs and IPAs to collect this information and intends to report on accessible units through the Action Plan period. At a minimum Ontario would meet the numbers of new units required under the provincial building codes. Ontario is already over-achieving this standard and over the past three years approximately 30% of the affordable rental housing units created through COCHI are accessible compared with the building code standard of 15%.

Reporting plan

Ontario acknowledges the federal government’s expectations regarding accountability for the National Housing Strategy investments. In addition, Ontario notes that the new requirements for these investments are more extensive than for any other previous cost-shared program.

Ontario has made improvements in its reporting under the Bilateral Agreement but given the pressures of the COVID‑19 Pandemic continues to work with Service Managers to collect all the level of details required. Ontario identified the following gaps in data collection at the outset of the Agreement — obtaining project level details on operating programs, collection of municipal contributions and project information on energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.

Ontario will continue to progressively implement with its delivery partners to collect all data on targets, indicators and outcomes outlined in the Bilateral Agreement, including updating internal reporting systems.

However, Ontario continues to advocate to reduce the reporting requirements and lessen the burden by streamlining elements of the reporting under the Agreement while still maintaining accountability.