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Appendix A: Data Tables

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Note: No quantitative data inform the graphics presented in Figure 5, Figure 7, Figure 8, Figure 9, Figure 10, Figure 11, Figure 12, Figure 28

Figure 1: Total Ontario Fuels Energy Demand

Data Table for Figure 1: Total Ontario Fuels Energy Demand
Fuels Demand (PJ)	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Residential	421	393	433	436	415	412	439	398	445	445	447
Commercial	249	226	239	239	230	224	234	215	239	215	215
Transportation	876	855	870	862	859	892	900	878	915	918	927
Industrial	831	818	801	769	666	673	674	680	690	749	750
Industrial Non-Energy Fuel Use	238	275	283	279	235	276	260	274	245	247	246
Electricity Generation	497	427	479	444	237	345	326	264	194	129	128

Figure 2: Fuels Energy Demand by Sector 2005 and 2015

Data Table for Figure 2: Fuels Energy Demand by Sector 2005 and 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	2005	2015
Residential	421	447
Commercial	249	215
Transportation	876	927
Industrial	831	750
Electricity Generation	497	128

Figure 3 and Figure 4: Fuels Demand by Fuel Type 2005 and 2015

Data Table for Figure 3 and Figure 4: Fuels Demand by Fuel Type 2005 and 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Natural gas	1,037	964	1,012	1,009	927	973	1,111	1,008	1,041	966	963
Coal	381	314	359	326	128	160	67	58	43	24	24
Motor gasoline	549	538	527	521	541	555	545	508	541	525	524
Diesel	270	254	255	256	242	260	273	269	272	289	294
Fuel Oil	90	86	96	72	57	52	55	46	46	47	46
Wood and Biomass	144	136	122	122	102	113	113	111	134	89	91
Propane and NGL	34	46	51	54	55	65	50	54	43	52	54
Biofuels	7	12	22	26	27	31	34	35	35	33	33
Other Heating Fuels	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Other Industrial Fossil Fuels	258	267	267	258	243	243	237	242	216	315	317
Other Transportation Fuels	103	103	110	104	86	93	89	105	113	116	120
Industrial Non-Energy Fuel Use	238	275	283	279	235	276	260	274	245	247	246

Figure 6: Dawn Storage

Data Table for Figure 6: Dawn Storage
Month	PJ
11-Jan	89
11-Feb	49
11-Mar	44
11-Apr	42
11-May	50
11-Jun	73
11-Jul	87
11-Aug	95
11-Sep	125
11-Oct	143
11-Nov	142
11-Dec	140
12-Jan	123
12-Feb	96
12-Mar	92
12-Apr	100
12-May	113
12-Jun	128
12-Jul	124
12-Aug	123
12-Sep	137
12-Oct	144
12-Nov	135
12-Dec	130
13-Jan	114
13-Feb	78
13-Mar	52
13-Apr	29
13-May	37
13-Jun	58
13-Jul	71
13-Aug	86
13-Sep	106
13-Oct	139
13-Nov	141
13-Dec	101
14-Jan	60
14-Feb	28
14-Mar	18
14-Apr	18
14-May	29
14-Jun	44
14-Jul	69
14-Aug	97
14-Sep	126
14-Oct	153
14-Nov	154
14-Dec	143
15-Jan	104
15-Feb	54
15-Mar	24
15-Apr	26
15-May	39
15-Jun	56
15-Jul	78
15-Aug	94
15-Sep	123
15-Oct	153
15-Nov	162
15-Dec	162
16-Jan	141
16-Feb	109
16-Mar	95
16-Apr	90

Figure 13: Ontario Residential Fuels Demand - 2015

Data Table for Figure 13: Ontario Residential Fuels Demand - 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	Year 2015
Residential	447
Commercial	215
Transportation	927
Industrial	750
Electricity Generation	128

Figure 14: Residential Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015

Data Table for Figure 14: Residential Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015
Fuel Type	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Fuel Oil	35	31	33	28	29	30	26	23	25	25	24
Natural Gas	341	313	351	356	334	322	356	315	364	367	369
Propane	8	11	12	13	14	16	12	13	10	11	13
Wood	38	36	36	38	38	43	45	47	46	42	41

Figure 15: Residential Fuels Energy Use Per Square Metre of Floor-Space

Data Table for Figure 15: Residential Fuels Energy Use Per Square Metre of Floor-Space
Year	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Residential Energy Intensity (GJ/m2)	0.72	0.66	0.72	0.71	0.67	0.65	0.68	0.60	0.66	0.65	0.64

Figure 16: Commercial Fuel Demand - 2015

Data Table for Figure 16: Commercial Fuel Demand - 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	2015
Residential	447
Commercial	215
Transportation	927
Industrial	750
Electricity Generation	128

Figure 17: Commercial Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015

Data Table for Figure 17: Commercial Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015
Fuel Type	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Fuel Oil	15	10	8	5	4	3	4	3	3	2	2
Natural Gas	221	199	212	214	207	198	214	195	222	200	200
Propane	12	16	18	19	19	22	17	18	14	13	13
Renewable Natural Gas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Figure 18: Commercial Fuels Energy Use Per Square Metre of Floor-Space

Data Table for Figure 18: Commercial Fuels Energy Use Per Square Metre of Floor-Space
Year	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Energy Intensity (GJ/m2)	1.00	0.89	0.92	0.90	0.85	0.82	0.85	0.77	0.84	0.75	0.74

Figure 19: Industrial Fuel Demand - 2015

Data Table for Figure 19: Industrial Fuel Demand - 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	2015
Residential	447
Commercial	215
Transportation	927
Industrial	750
Electricity Generation	128

Figure 20: Industrial Energy Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015

Data Table for Figure 20: Industrial Energy Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015
Fuel	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Fuel Oil	39	36	39	34	22	15	17	15	16	20	20
Natural Gas	364	348	338	322	274	268	278	284	294	282	281
Propane & NGL	10	14	15	16	16	21	15	15	13	22	23
Coal, Coke, and Coke Gas	177	175	173	165	163	155	157	161	153	243	244
Other Industrial Fuels	102	102	93	88	67	73	73	68	94	47	47
Still Gas	81	89	94	92	83	89	86	90	69	84	85
Diesel & Gasoline	58	56	50	52	41	52	47	47	51	50	51

Figure 21: Non-Energy Industrial Demand by Type: 2005-2015

Data Table for Figure 21: Non-Energy Industrial Demand by Type: 2005-2013
Fuel	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Natural Gas	19	21	19	26	29	20	28	28	15	14	15
Propane & NGL	56	87	104	96	84	118	121	124	124	120	126
Coal, Coke, and Coke Gas	162	167	161	156	121	139	111	122	105	113	106

Figure 22: Industrial Fuels Energy Use Per $1,000 of Economic Output

Data Table for Figure 22: Industrial Fuels Energy Use Per $1,000 of Economic Output
Year	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Industrial Energy Intensity (GJ/$1000)	2.97	2.92	2.86	2.74	2.38	2.40	2.41	2.43	2.46	2.68	2.68

Figure 23: Transportation Energy Fuel Demand - 2015

Data Table for Figure 23: Transportation Energy Fuel Demand - 2015
Fuels Demand (PJ)	Year 2015
Residential	447
Commercial	215
Transportation	927
Industrial	750
Electricity Generation	128

Figure 24: Transportation Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015

Data Table for Figure 24: Transportation Demand by Fuel Type: 2005-2015
Fuel	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Motor Gasoline	536	524	518	512	532	540	533	498	531	515	514
Diesel	225	211	214	213	210	222	238	232	231	249	254
Fuel Oil	10	10	10	10	7	12	8	10	14	13	14
Aviation Fuel	93	93	101	94	79	81	80	95	99	102	105
Propane	4	5	6	6	5	6	7	8	6	5	5
Biofuels	7	12	22	26	27	31	34	35	35	33	33
Other Transportation Fuels	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2

Figure 25: Light Duty Vehicle Efficiency Improvements – 2005 to 2015

Data Table for Figure 25: Light Duty Vehicle Efficiency Improvements – 2005 to 2015
	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Light Duty Vehicle Efficiency (km/GJ)	270	268	271	277	278	281	285	289	293	298	302

Figure 26: Historical Ontario GHG Emissions

Data Table for Figure 26: Historical Ontario GHG Emissions
	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Industrial Energy Use	27	27	27	26	23	23	24	24	23	24	24
Commercial Energy Use	13	11	12	12	11	11	12	11	12	13	13
Residential Energy Use	21	19	21	21	20	19	21	18	20	22	22
Transportation	65	62	61	59	59	61	61	58	61	60	60
Electricity Generation	35	30	33	27	15	20	14	14	10	6	6
Fugitive	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
Industrial Non-Energy Use	28	29	28	28	21	23	21	23	22	22	22
Agricultural	11	12	11	11	11	12	12	12	12	12	12
Waste	10	10	10	10	10	9	10	10	9	9	9

Figure 27: Demand Uncertainty

Data Table for Figure 27: Demand Uncertainty
Year	Lower Bound	Upper Bound
2015	2,334	2,338
2016	2,355	2,368
2017	2,333	2,354
2018	2,325	2,363
2019	2,309	2,364
2020	2,293	2,369
2021	2,269	2,363
2022	2,249	2,364
2023	2,211	2,350
2024	2,185	2,351
2025	2,155	2,345
2026	2,122	2,343
2027	2,089	2,338
2028	2,058	2,339
2029	2,029	2,339
2030	2,000	2,347
2031	1,964	2,344
2032	1,935	2,353
2033	1,901	2,355
2034	1,870	2,364
2035	1,843	2,377

Figure 29: Five Fuels Energy Demand Outlooks

Data Table for Figure 29: Five Fuels Energy Demand Outlooks
Year	FTR Outlook B	FTR Outlook C	FTR Outlook D	FTR Outlook E	FTR Outlook F
2015	2,338	2,338	2,338	2,336	2,334
2016	2,368	2,363	2,363	2,360	2,355
2017	2,354	2,346	2,346	2,342	2,333
2018	2,363	2,347	2,344	2,341	2,325
2019	2,364	2,341	2,333	2,332	2,309
2020	2,369	2,334	2,322	2,324	2,293
2021	2,363	2,319	2,302	2,307	2,269
2022	2,364	2,310	2,287	2,296	2,249
2023	2,350	2,282	2,254	2,266	2,211
2024	2,351	2,266	2,231	2,249	2,185
2025	2,345	2,246	2,206	2,228	2,155
2026	2,343	2,225	2,177	2,205	2,122
2027	2,338	2,205	2,147	2,183	2,089
2028	2,339	2,185	2,121	2,162	2,058
2029	2,339	2,165	2,095	2,141	2,029
2030	2,347	2,153	2,069	2,127	2,000
2031	2,344	2,129	2,037	2,102	1,964
2032	2,353	2,115	2,011	2,086	1,935
2033	2,355	2,093	1,981	2,064	1,901
2034	2,364	2,080	1,954	2,049	1,870
2035	2,377	2,070	1,931	2,037	1,843

Figure 30: Sectoral Breakdown of Energy Demand by Outlook, 2015 vs 2035

Data Table for Figure 30: Sectoral Breakdown of Energy Demand by Outlook, 2015 vs 2035
Energy (PJ)	2015	Outlook B 2035	Outlook C 2035	Outlook D 2035	Outlook E 2035	Outlook F 2035
Residential	447	498	388	322	381	303
Commercial	215	233	192	177	187	147
Transportation	927	975	883	883	878	874
Industrial	750	671	607	550	591	519

Figure 31: Residential Outlook

Data Table for Figure 31: Residential Outlook
	2015	2025	2025	2025	2035	2035	2035
	All Outlooks	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F
Fuel Oil	24	19	4	4	21	1	0
Natural Gas	369	388	368	324	400	270	188
Propane	13	24	4	3	28	0	0
Wood	41	45	45	44	50	50	49
Renewable Natural Gas	0	0	0	34	0	0	66

Figure 32: Commercial Outlook

Data Table for Figure 32: Commercial Outlook
Fuel Type	2015	2025	2025	2025	2035	2035	2035
	All Outlooks	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F
Fuel Oil	2	1	0	0	1	0	0
Natural Gas	200	203	203	170	213	173	103
Propane	13	16	3	3	19	4	3
Renewable Natural Gas	0	0	0	19	0	0	42

Figure 33: Industrial Outlook

Data Table for Figure 33: 2015 Industrial Outlook
Fuel Type	All Outlooks
Fuel Oil	19.866144
Natural Gas	280.633569
Propane and NGL	22.567716
Still Gas	84.87631
Renewable Natural Gas	0
Motor Gasoline	10.15183
Other Industrial Fuels	71.030867
Diesel	40.427442
Petroleum Coke	45.311643
Coke and Coke Gas	175.053126

Data Table for Figure 33: 2025 Industrial Outlook
	Outlook B	Outlook C	Outlook D	Outlook E	Outlook F
Fuel Oil	19.016307	17.514665	15.877528	17.490896	15.829337
Natural Gas	260.168313	241.154722	223.957144	223.7131628	190.2477088
Propane and NGL	25.113612	24.692192	24.008431	24.662534	23.948284
Still Gas	85.392016	84.173868	84.10331	82.529726	80.769459
Renewable Natural Gas	0	0	0	10.59788019	20.47870618
Motor Gasoline	10.159345	10.159345	10.159345	10.159345	10.159345
Other Industrial Fuels	58.717391	56.130419	52.634825	56.130419	52.634825
Diesel	38.239202	37.713737	37.274744	37.713737	37.274744
Petroleum Coke	42.143927	40.084861	37.70454	39.829177	37.18606
Coke and Coke Gas	147.323185	147.323185	147.323185	147.323185	147.323185

Data Table for Figure 33: 2035 Industrial Outlook
	Outlook B	Outlook C	Outlook D	Outlook E	Outlook F
Fuel Oil	18.720752	15.18742	12.973354	15.148198	12.894112
Natural Gas	260.479752	220.036202	195.49074	184.32193	123.9732746
Propane and NGL	24.036979	22.80212	18.627087	22.750703	18.523223
Still Gas	84.778394	79.423452	79.351014	76.602944	73.65312
Renewable Natural Gas	0	0	0	22.94206895	47.5158864
Motor Gasoline	10.116254	10.116254	10.116254	10.116254	10.116254
Other Industrial Fuels	56.627656	50.067539	32.925858	50.067539	32.925858
Diesel	36.945229	35.878466	35.564369	35.878466	35.564369
Petroleum Coke	41.336194	35.844546	26.696091	35.468392	25.936198
Coke and Coke Gas	137.952812	137.952812	137.952812	137.952812	137.952812

Figure 34: Transportation Outlook

Data Table for Figure 34: 2015 Transportation Outlook
	All Outlooks
Motor Gasoline	514.072731
Diesel	253.777706
Fuel Oil	14.118851
Aviation Fuel	104.509483
Propane	5.215308858
Transportation Natural Gas	1.65589
Biodiesel	5.456728
Ethanol	27.76064473
Hydrogen	0

Data Table for Figure 34: 2025 Transportation Outlook
	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F
Motor Gasoline	466.584984	451.480492	421.761254
Diesel	295.266263	294.944136	238.017392
Fuel Oil	15.781864	15.781864	15.781864
Aviation Fuel	134.071142	134.071142	134.071142
Propane	4.733541878	4.733521878	9.115616878
Transportation Natural Gas	13.490652	13.490651	33.112549
Biodiesel	6.355876	6.348413	42.798573
Ethanol	25.19624013	24.58017213	40.37833913
Hydrogen	0	0	4.333486

Data Table for Figure 34: 2035 Transportation Outlook
	Outlook B	Outlook D	Outlook F
Motor Gasoline	408.126108	323.402718	272.004324
Diesel	325.820017	322.119697	216.517476
Fuel Oil	15.579734	15.579734	15.579734
Aviation Fuel	158.770047	158.770047	158.770047
Propane	4.140471918	4.137289918	11.13959992
Transportation Natural Gas	33.224136	33.224046	67.449234
Biodiesel	6.992315	6.906569	76.566257
Ethanol	22.03937927	18.50352027	48.89757827
Hydrogen	0	0	6.908804

Figure 35: Conservation Achievement and Outlook to 2035 (Outlook B)

Data Table for Figure 35: Conservation Achievement and Outlook to 2035 (Outlook B)
Year	Residential NG	Commercial NG	Industrial NG	Motor Gasoline	Diesel
2015	3	1	3	0	0
2016	6	2	6	0	0
2017	8	2	9	1	0
2018	12	3	12	2	1
2019	15	5	16	4	2
2020	18	6	19	7	2
2021	19	6	18	11	3
2022	20	7	20	17	3
2023	21	7	22	24	4
2024	23	8	25	32	4
2025	24	9	27	41	5
2026	26	10	29	51	5
2027	28	11	32	59	6
2028	31	12	34	69	6
2029	34	13	37	77	6
2030	37	14	40	86	6
2031	38	15	42	93	7
2032	41	16	45	101	7
2033	43	17	47	107	7
2034	45	17	50	113	7
2035	47	18	52	118	7

Figure 36: Alternative Fuels in 2035 – Outlook B and F

Data Table for Figure 36: Alternative Fuels in 2035 – Outlook B and F
Fuel	Outlook B	Outlook F
Conventional Fuel	2,310	1,477
Alternative Fossil Fuel	37	85
Alternative Biofuel	29	281
Total	2,377	1,843

Figure 37: Outlook F Alternative Fuel Breakdown

Data Table for Figure 37: Outlook F Alternative Fuel Breakdown
Fuel	2020	2025	2030	2035
Residential RNG	4	34	69	66
Commercial RNG	2	19	42	42
Transportation Propane	8	9	10	11
Transportation Natural Gas	17	33	49	67
Transportation Biodiesel	26	43	60	77
Transportation Ethanol	36	40	44	49
Transportation H2	3	4	6	7
Industrial RNG	3	20	44	48

Figure 38: Fuels Combustion GHG Emissions Outlook

Data Table for Figure 38: Fuels Combustion GHG Emissions MT of CO2e per Outlook
Year	Outlook B	Outlook C	Outlook D	Outlook E	Outlook F
2015	122	122	122	121	121
2016	123	123	123	122	121
2017	123	122	122	121	120
2018	123	122	122	121	119
2019	123	122	121	120	117
2020	124	122	121	119	116
2021	123	121	120	118	114
2022	123	120	119	117	112
2023	123	118	117	114	108
2024	122	117	116	113	106
2025	122	116	114	110	102
2026	122	115	112	108	99
2027	121	113	111	106	95
2028	121	112	109	104	92
2029	121	111	107	103	90
2030	122	110	106	101	87
2031	122	109	104	99	84
2032	122	108	103	98	82
2033	122	106	101	96	80
2034	122	106	99	95	77
2035	123	105	98	94	75

Figure 39: Emissions Relative to 2014 Levels

Data Table for Figure 39: Emissions Relative to 2014 Levels for 2025
Fuel	Outlook B	Outlook C	Outlook D	Outlook E	Outlook F
Transportation	1	-1	-2	-2	-4
Residential	0	-1	-1	-1	-2
Commercial	3	2	2	-1	-4
Industrial	-4	-5	-6	-6	-8

Data Table for Figure 39: Emissions Relative to 2014 Levels for 2035
Fuel	Outlook B	Outlook C	Outlook D	Outlook E	Outlook F
Transportation	2	-4	-7	-6	-11
Residential	1	-1	-2	-3	-6
Commercial	3	-3	-3	-9	-14
Industrial	-4	-8	-11	-10	-15

Figure 40: Total Cost of Fuels for Energy in Outlook B

Data Table for Figure 40: Total Cost of Fuels for Energy in Outlook B
2016 Billion CAD$	Outlook B
2016	$45
2017	$50
2018	$52
2019	$53
2020	$55
2021	$56
2022	$57
2023	$57
2024	$58
2025	$58
2026	$59
2027	$59
2028	$60
2029	$61
2030	$62
2031	$62
2032	$63
2033	$63
2034	$64
2035	$65

Figure 41: Drivers of System Cost Increases 2016 to 2035

Data Table for Figure 41: Drivers of System Cost Increases 2016 to 2035 - Total Cost Change (2016 Bill CAD$)
Drivers	2016	2035	Delta	%
All Other Fuels	26	28	1	7%
Carbon Liability	0	5	5	23%
Other Transportation Fuels	3	7	5	25%
Diesel	11	18	7	34%
Natural Gas	5	8	2	11%

Figure 42: Average Unit Cost of Natural Gas and Transportation Fuels in Outlook B

Data Table for Figure 42: Average Unit Cost of Natural Gas and Transportation Fuels in Outlook B
Year	Natural Gas & RNG (Consumption, PJ)	Transportation Fuels (Consumption, PJ)	Natural Gas & RNG Unit Cost ($/GJ)	Transportation Fuels Unit Cost ($/GJ)
2016	862	938	$6	$36
2017	854	945	$8	$38
2018	857	956	$8	$40
2019	856	960	$9	$41
2020	858	966	$9	$41
2021	855	965	$9	$42
2022	856	967	$9	$43
2023	851	964	$9	$43
2024	853	964	$9	$44
2025	852	961	$9	$44
2026	852	962	$10	$45
2027	850	959	$10	$45
2028	852	961	$10	$46
2029	853	960	$10	$46
2030	857	963	$10	$47
2031	857	963	$10	$47
2032	861	966	$10	$48
2033	863	967	$10	$48
2034	866	971	$10	$48
2035	873	975	$10	$49

Figure 43: Cost of Fuels Energy Across Demand Outlooks

Data Table for Figure 43: Cost of Fuels Energy Across Demand Outlooks
2035	Demand Outlook B	Demand Outlook C	Demand Outlook D	Demand Outlook E	Demand Outlook F
Total Cost (2016 CAD$ Billions)	$65	$57	$56	$57	$55
Unit Cost (2016 CAD/$GJ)	$27.3	$27.5	$28.8	$27.8	$29.6
Energy Demand (PJ)	2,377	2,070	1,931	2,037	1,843

Updated: June 10, 2022

Published: May 31, 2017